Global Economics
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Jim Rogers warns on trade war with China
Posted on 20 January 2011 with 4 comments from readers
Veteran US hedge fund manager and China bull Jim Rogers warns that no nation has ever won a trade war in history. He counsels China that opening up its currency to free convertibility is essential and keeping it a blocked currency is an error.
Be very worried about a trade war, says Rogers. Trade wars deepened the Great Recession of the 1930s. The Chinese invest and save 35 per cent of income compared with two per cent in the USA.
Posted on 20 January 2011
Categories: Global Economics, Hedge Funds, Investment Gurus, Video Channel



4 Comments posted by readers:
hi all i used to like jr but since he started talking his book over the pound you canrt trust this guy any more shame he really no’s his stuff
gl
Not a good idea to mess with the Chinese lol.. Just about every type of manufacturing is banned in the US due to some locals protesting because they don’t want factories in their neighborhood or because of some green activist protesting because they don’t want to ruin their blue skies. Bottom line is you pretty much can’t do shi* in the US these days due to some sort of law that prohibits you from doing so. This means we better not upset the Chinese or cut off trade with them. GM is now making more money in China than in the US. If it were not for the Chinese we would be paying double for all of our computer products these days and for our cell phones (the list goes on and on for how much more we would be paying if it were not for them).
I don’t think so Andy. Jim Rodger’s point is that all countries lose when they engage in trade wars, so both China and America will suffer.
In my opinion though China would stand to lose a lot more. Where is it going to sell all its vast exports to? What will all its near starvation workers do? There are already 100,000 violent protest in China every year. The experience of the Great Depression was that countries that ran large trade surpluses suffered most and the USA with a huge trade surplus at the time suffered the most. Britian with a deficit raised trade barriers and, although it still suffered, it didn’t see anywhere like the economic devastation that the US did. China will suffer like the US did in a new global trade war.
It will not be long before China takes over Western companies or builds factories in Western countries to assemble its Chinese manufactured components and it willl be welcomed with open arms by coutries with high unemployment and large deficits like Japan did.